A Groundhog Preview

Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow tomorrow? Shadow or no shadow we are looking at a very springlike forecast as we begin the month of February.
A very weak disturbance moved through the district overnight and brought a little rain and mountain snow to the region. Skies have cleared out mostly and all I expect for the remainder of the day is an isolated sprinkle or flurry in the highest terrain.
Temperatures will top off into the low 50s in many spots with increasing amounts of sunshine. Due to the clear skies nighttime lows will dip to near freezing and even below in the outlying areas. Some frost and freezing fog are possible for the Thursday morning commute so drive with caution.
Long term models keep us mostly sunny and dry all the way through the weekend with cold nights and bright sunny days with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s. An east wind will develop which should limit much of the AM fog.
Have a great day, Meteorologist Matt Brode
Follow me on twitter @mattbrode


A Little Rain Followed by Spring?

If you liked the weather on Monday, today should be nearly a carbon copy. Mostly cloudy skies today with some occasional sun-breaks. Overall temperatures should remain in the upper 40s, and I think we see less widespread 50s. Clouds lower and thicken overnight as a pretty weak rain maker approaches the area.
Rain should begin sometime after midnight in the valleys and continue through the morning commute on Wednesday. By Wednesday afternoon the rain is gone and we see the clouds begin to decay.
Due to the moisture, we may see some fog early Thursday morning, but breezy east winds will develop and sun will return to the region for most of the period through the weekend – and possibly even beyond.
Have a terrific Tuesday,
Matt Brode
Follow me on twitter: @mattbrode

First Snow, Now Floods

After a snowy, cold start to our work-week mother nature has delivered a fire hose of moisture. Heavy rains and massive snow melt due to warmer temperatures have rivers and streams on the rise.
Here are some areas flooding right now:
South Yamhill River at McMinnville Pudding River at Aurora Clackamas River at Estacada Clackamas River at Oregon City Johnson Creek at Sycamore
Meanwhile the central Willamette Valley has seen the worst flooding from Salem and Turner.
As always, turn around if you see flooded intersections and roadways.
The other story over the past couple of days is the tremendous amount of snowfall in the Cascades. Here are some 48 hour snow totals:
Ski Bowl 25″ Timberline Lodge 21″ Mt. Hood Meadows 44″
a warm front slowly lifts through the region today, the heaviest rains will taper off by late afternoon. This will give the smaller rivers and creeks some time to subside, however, another storm will move through the region Friday with more rain expected.
Stay with us here at KOIN Local 6 for updates.
Matt Brode

A Record Breaking December

Amazingly – especially considering a La Nina year – the first half of December will go into the record books as the driest ever. PDX has picked up only 0.06″ of rain during the first two weeks of December. This puts us in a deficit of 2.75″. And for you statisticians at home, last year at this time we were closing in on 5.00″ of rain during the first two weeks.
Meanwhile, I see very little change to the forecast for the next several days. High pressure sets-up shop in the Eastern Pacific – a little weaker than the past couple of weeks – so spots north of PDX and along the Coast could see some very light showers Sunday and again on Tuesday. Otherwise we wake-up most mornings with fog followed by partial afternoon clearing. Daytime highs will be cool (in the mid 40s) and nighttime lows remain at or slightly above freezing.
So right now I’d place the chances of a white Christmas at about 0-1%
Have a fabulous Friday and a wonderful weekend! Matt Brode

Hurricane Force Coastal Winds and Possible Flooding

An epic change in the weather pattern is underway across the Pacific northwest this week. Mother Nature will be delivering us a one-two punch. The second punch likely to be the knock-out punch.

Let’s get started: A cold front blasted through the metro this morning carrying with it moderate to heavy rain and gusty winds. Most of the wind and rain will taper off today before that “number two” punch gets underway tonight.

A much stronger front will move in and stall over the region tomorrow bringing potentially 80 mph wind gusts to the Coast. Winds in the Valley could gust to 40 mph too. Coupled with extremely heavy rains, there is the potential for downed trees, power lines, and urban flooding. Rivers, especially near the coast, could significantly rise and a flood watch has been issued for many of the rivers near the coast. Here is an image of our in-house model 72hr rainfall amounts.
The good news is that wind and rain should taper off by Wednesday, just in time for your travel plans,

Exact rainfall amounts and wind speeds are still a bit uncertain, so stay tuned to Koin Local 6, koinlocal6.com and be sure to download our free weather app available for your iphone and android.

We’ve got you covered 24/7,
Meteorologist Matt Brode

mbrode@koin.com follow me on twitter @mattbrode