TUCSON – Rain overspread much of metro Tucson – AGAIN – tonight and more rain is in the forecast tonight through Tuesday. And oh, don’t look now, but more rain is possible this weekend and even into next week if we can tap into Tropical Storm Tara.
Okay back to the big chill: the first 15 days of October have been colder than the first 15 days of November last year. (How is that even possible?)
So halfway through the month, we now rank as the 19th coldest October since records have been kept (1894). What’s more staggering is if you take out most of the colder October’s which occurred at the beginning of the 20th century, this October ranks as the 4th coldest since 1959! Only the first 15 days of October in 1966, 1970, and 1982 were colder!
And by the way, it’s currently snowing on top of Mt. Graham. See the image below.
The final flood advisory for Central Pima county has expired leaving all of Southern Arizona advisory/watch/warning free for the first time in a long time.
So now that I have some down time let’s discuss monsoon 2013 and where we stand.
There are plenty of superlatives we can claim already.
Douglas, for example, has received over 8.00″ of rain during the first two weeks of July.
It is now the all-time wettest month for Douglas – and we are only halfway through. Portions of Cochise and Santa Cruz Counties have literally been washed away in the past two weeks.
Take a look at where some of SE Arizona cities sit for monsoon 2013 as compared to average. (Courtesy of the NWS)
As you can see, Hereford and Douglas really stand out while the remainder of the region is near average for rain.
One thing I find curious is that TIA, too, is above its rain average – while many ‘midtowners’ have noticed the lack of a good soaker.
So often is the case that, TIA (where rain records for Tucson are officially kept) seems to receive much less rain than other portions of Tucson.
Perhaps this is just a misnomer, but we can accurately claim that as of today, Tucson is above average for monsoon rain.
Okay, just when you thought it was safe to work on the blog a new flood advisory pops-up.
I’ll see you soon!
Have you been a bit disappointed lately with the lack of rain in midtown Tucson?
Would you belive me if I told you that this monsoon has been epic so far? Well it has, and I’ve got the proof.
As of today, Tucson (at the airport where records are kept) is way above average for July rain.
In fact we are at double in the rain department.
And if this wasn’t enough to wash away any doubt – check out the July rain in Douglas:
Nearly 700% of average for July.
So despite what you may consider a slow start to the monsoon, we are actually faring quite well.
I expect a bit of a downturn in rain chances from Friday through the weekend, but some signs are indicating another uptick as we head into the middle of next week.
Hopefully the daily round of storms works its way a bit farther to the north.
Check it out. Here is the latest GFS model for June 30th. It’s still awhile away, but if it verifies, we should see good storms developing in Tucson before July.