Many years we talk about the latest 100 degree day occurring in October: well forget about that. The highest temperature we’ve recorded this month has been a “cool” 89 degrees.
Don’t look now but warmer weather is in the forecast, but even highs on the warmest days look to only be a degree or two above average.
With two weeks still remaining of the month, it would take a major heat wave to put the entire month of October above average…and that isn’t in the forecast. This means October 2018 will be the first below average month we’ve seen since September of 2016.
TUCSON – Rain overspread much of metro Tucson – AGAIN – tonight and more rain is in the forecast tonight through Tuesday. And oh, don’t look now, but more rain is possible this weekend and even into next week if we can tap into Tropical Storm Tara.
Okay back to the big chill: the first 15 days of October have been colder than the first 15 days of November last year. (How is that even possible?)
So halfway through the month, we now rank as the 19th coldest October since records have been kept (1894). What’s more staggering is if you take out most of the colder October’s which occurred at the beginning of the 20th century, this October ranks as the 4th coldest since 1959! Only the first 15 days of October in 1966, 1970, and 1982 were colder!
And by the way, it’s currently snowing on top of Mt. Graham. See the image below.
In addition, for the first time since the early 1980s, Tucson has picked up over 7.00″ of rain in three consecutive years.
Drought conditions remain across much of the State of Arizona and according to chief Meteorologist Matt Brode, this is in part due to fewer Winter storms over the past several years.
Drought conditions still remain for much of the State if Arizona despite abundant monsoon rain. Here's to hoping for more late Fall and Winter storms with good snow pack in the mountains. #AZwx#KVOAwxpic.twitter.com/V4UFwIlv9q
Abundant monsoon rain has the City of Tucson in a small yearly surplus, but we’ll need to pick up about another 3″ of rain through the end of the year to match our annual average of almost 12″ of rain.
Twas the night before Christmas, And all through the air,
Conditions were dry, And the weather was fair,
Kids were hoping for snow, Well into the night,
With the hope of some snow, Christmas would be white.
Dreams do come true and many parts of the region will see snow on Christmas day – but probably only rain in the lowest terrain.
A strong winter weather storm is moving toward the region and will bring plenty of rain to the region on Christmas day. If you live near the Gorge or in the highest hills, you may see some snowflakes mixing in with rain very early Christmas morning. Otherwise, it’s a wet Christmas for the valley with highs in the mid 40s.
The coast will be wet and breezy, the Coast Range will pick-up 2-6″ of snow before changing back over to rain. The Cascades will pick-up another foot or more of snow and the Gorge east of Multnomah Falls should pick-up plenty of snow.
Here’s a factoid that may make you feel better about our white Christmas chances: The city of Miami has a 1-in-20,000 chance of having a white Christmas. It has never happened and it has been 35 years since Miami has even seen snow.